Module 33 · 2/5
Vieses
Lookahead, survivorship, overfit.
SafeCandle original (EN). Module «Honest backtesting» — lesson «Vieses». Lookahead, survivorship, overfit. This text is educational: reading and process, not a buy/sell order.
Look-ahead, survival bias and fantasy spreads kill pretty studies.
One year on one pair is not universal truth. Note regimes: trend vs range.
Application: with «Vieses» in mind, compare EUR/USD and one cross (e.g. EUR/GBP). What changes in the currency engine, in cost, and in your urge to click? On /mercado, check whether strength ranking supports or challenges the read — observation only.
Journal exercise (tag study): (1) define the topic in one sentence of your own; (2) one mistake you would avoid; (3) playbook now or “study later” queue. Open the live Market panel when the topic needs currency comparison. For price structure, the lab and journal are enough at first.
Nothing here is a buy or sell order. Use demo, journal and playbook. Education does not guarantee profit.
Final reminder: «Vieses» becomes habit only with journal repetition — not content bingeing.
Key points
- ✓Vieses
- ✓Reading and process, no signal
- ✓Three-line journal
- ✓Playbook and risk lead
