Module 29 · 4/5
Expectativa (expectancy)
Média por trade em R.
SafeCandle original (EN). Module «Basic trade statistics» — lesson «Expectativa (expectancy)». Média por trade em R. This text is educational: reading and process, not a buy/sell order.
Hide curve-fitting: fix rules before judging results.
Win rate alone does not pay. Expectancy needs average win, average loss and sample size.
Application: with «Expectativa (expectancy)» in mind, compare EUR/USD and one cross (e.g. EUR/GBP). What changes in the currency engine, in cost, and in your urge to click? On /mercado, check whether strength ranking supports or challenges the read — observation only.
Journal exercise (tag study): (1) define the topic in one sentence of your own; (2) one mistake you would avoid; (3) playbook now or “study later” queue. Missions and glossary reinforce vocabulary. Real progress is routine, not how many screens you open.
SafeCandle does not issue signals. Treat each idea as a study hypothesis and log it in the journal with tag study.
Final reminder: «Expectativa (expectancy)» becomes habit only with journal repetition — not content bingeing.
Key points
- ✓Expectativa (expectancy)
- ✓Reading and process, no signal
- ✓Three-line journal
- ✓Playbook and risk lead